Monday, August 31, 2009

Eric Young Jr – Welcome to the MLB


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Dexter Fowler, the Colorado Rockies speedster has been placed on the DL. Will this hurt the Rockies run scoring machine? NO! All they had to do was pick up the phone and Eric Young Jr (minor league steal leader), who might be even faster than Fowler was on his way to the big leagues. Rockies manager Jim Tracy had this to say about Young: "He's quite an asset at the top of the lineup if he reaches base. If he reaches base, I think you'd be hard-pressed to come up with the name of a guy that's faster than he is. I realize this is a little bit of a baptism by fire." In a handful of games Young has yet to flash his speed, and has been striking out at high rate however we like his game and potential. Keeper leaguers will also want to watch his performance closely.



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Matt Cassel Out 2-4 Weeks Adjust Your Fantasy Football Rankings

By: Bobby Hastings 8/31/2009

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This just in – Matt Cassel’s knee injury is a big deal. His sprained MCL will hold him out 2-4 weeks or approximately 25% of the fantasy football season. Adjust your draft boards accordingly. Cassel tweaked his knee after being sacked on the third play of the Chiefs pre-season game against the Seahawks. The news leaves Tyler Thigpen as the Chiefs starting quarterback, a situation fantasy football owners should avoid like the plague. Cassel should now clearly be selected after players like Palmer, Big Ben, and Eli who were currently being selected after Cassel in live drafts. Also knock Dwayne Bowe and LJ down a few draft slots as well. The Chiefs are a situation to avoid for 2009.



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Sunday, August 30, 2009

Brady’s Sore Shoulder – Should This Affect His Draft Status?

By: Bobby Hastings 8/30/2009

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We will just come right out and say – this does not seem serious. Despite the tight lipped Patriots policy on injuries there is no indication that this is more than a minor strain. We fully expect Brady to be in perfect health for the start of the season. This should not affect his fantasy football draft status in anyway. New England right tackle Matt Light said: “Anytime someone 350 pounds falls on him, it’s going to hurt him. You just know it’s part of the game, and Tom’s been through it before and you know he can take it.” Expect over 4,000 yards and 30 TDs.


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Scott Kazmir Traded To The Angles – Fantasy Baseball Implications

By: Alex Woods 8/30/2009

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youngHere we go again, entrenched in the final stretch of the fantasy baseball season and along comes a huge deal involving All Star pitcher Scott Kazmir! This is the type of intangible post-trade deadline transaction that can put a team over the edge. But, is Kazmir really going to step up his game up in LA? He has not been so good of late posting a 5.10 ERA over the last month. We are not so sure he will be turning things around for the Halos in September. However, come playoff time this could spell danger for the New York Yankees. The Angles have always given the Yanks trouble in the post-season, and now with the addition of Yankee killer Scott Kazmir things are looking even worse for the Yanks. Not only is Kazmir a lefty (ideal to protect the short porch in Yankee stadium) but he holds a 2.53 career ERA against New York. In any case, Kazmir has struggled of late and it will be interesting to see if a change of scenery helps him to regain his focus.

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Saturday, August 29, 2009

Josh Morgan – Who is this Guy? Fantasy Football Impact Analysis

By: Bobby Hastings 8/29/2009

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If you thought Michael Crabtree was the receiver with the most upside on the Niners this year you are wrong. Rookie wide receivers who miss training camp rarely contribute. However, what a star rookie’s lack of presence in camp does allow is for another player to step up and show his goods. Josh Morgan has done just that, emerging as San Francisco’s deep threat for the 2009. "The guy has unbelievable talent," quarterback Shaun Hill said. "He's such a hard worker and a good kid -- a good young man, I should say. I can't say enough good things about him." At 6’0” and 220 lbs Morgan is a beast in the Megatron mold waiting to break out. While the quarterback situation is very concerning, the Niner’s should trail frequently and be forced to go to the air. If Morgan is around in the later rounds he is certainly worth taking a flier on.


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Matt LaPorta – Fantasy Baseball Keeper Worthy?

By: Alex Woods 8/29/2009

Buzz up!vote nowyoungHeee’s back and looking to do some damage. After an unsuccessful trip to the big leagues this spring LaPorta is back with the Indians and ready to show the power we have all been waiting for. LaPorta is widely regarding as a cant miss prospect – one of the best hitters in the minor leagues, with legitimate major league power. He has had at least one hit in each of his appearances since being called up again. The power will be there I promise you – this guy is a legitimate keeper in all fantasy baseball leagues and needs to be picked up immediately. As a side note and word of caution – “that guy” in my fantasy baseball league that has ruined the careers of many would be professional athletes claimed LaPorta off waivers after his first round pick Joan Santana went out for the season. We still say go for LaPorta but beware that he is now cursed.

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Friday, August 28, 2009

Ray Rice - Fantasy Football Impact Analysis

By: Bobby Hastings 8/28/2009

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Ray Rice is a very intriguing player for the 2009 season. While he is now listed as the Ravens first string running back there is clearly a strong committee situation in Baltimore right now with Willis McGahee and LaRon McLain lurking to steal carries. What sets Rice apart is his ability to catch balls – many predict >50 catches for Rice this year. Furthermore, while McLain will most likely handle goal line duties to start the year, the potential for Rice to grow into that role is certainly there. Rice is currently being drafted around the 5th round which sounds about right. Once you get into the solid committee running backs the former Rutgers standout is nice upside player to target. We would certainly recommend taking Rice ahead of LenDale White, and even Jonathan Stewart who are currently going ahead of him in most drafts.





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Fantasy Football Insurance – How Necessary Are Hand Cuffs in the Two RB System Era?


By: Bobby Hastings 8/28/2009
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The Handcuff used to be a common term overheard during fantasy football drafts around the country. Today is a new day. Today is the day of the dreaded running back by committee (RBBC). Today the word handcuff is almost dead. BCRT thinks it is still an important concept. The handcuff is the idea of drafting a players backup that will gain the majority of carries in the event of an injury to the primary running back. If you owned an injury prone player it was believed to be a good idea to handcuff his backup onto your squad under the assumption that in the event of injury the backup would step right in and your team would not suffer too much.

The RBBC has decreased the value of the handcuff. On some teams the RBBC can be as deep as three players. The handcuff does not work as well in that case when an injury creeps up. However, there are a few legitimate two-back RBBC situations around the league, where if the primary back went down to injury the handcuff would actually dramatically increase in value as a result of becoming the primary ball carrier.

Of course, a handful of situations do still exist where there is one primary ball carrier – in those cases the handcuff is certainly not always a necessity. In fact, in some of those situations, should the primary ball carrier go down to injury the handcuff would NOT become the primary ball carrier – the team would go to a RBBC.

The following is a list of BCRT recommended handcuffs. If a player is not on this list, in the event of injury we see a RBBC situation. To learn more about the RBBC see the BCRT article: Making a Running Back By Committee Work For Your Fantasy Football Team

2009 BCRT Handcuffs To Target

Chester Taylor
Jerious Norwood
Ladell Betts
Jonathan Stewart
Donald Brown
Ricky Williams
Justin Fargas
LeSean McCoy
Darren Sproles
Edgerrin James
Glen Coffee
LenDale White

There you have it - to handcuff or not to handcuff? We say go for the cuff in certain siutations. Hopefully list provided above will serve you well on draft day.


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Thursday, August 27, 2009

Jay Cutler - Fantasy Impact Analysis

By: Bobby Hastings 8/27/2009

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BCRT recommends drastically discounting Jay Cutler in 2009. In ’08 he went wild passing for over 4,000 yards, almost creating two 100-catch receivers. That was a different time and a different place. Keep a close eye on Kyle Orton this year in Denver, as comparing Cutler to Orton will emphasize just how much the type of offense/system a player is in dictates his final statistics. Cutlers new #1 could potentially be Devin Hester – so don’t expect crazy numbers this year. Cutler is currently being drafted around the 6th round – we recommend letting someone else take Jay Cutler this year. The quarterback is a very deep position in 2009 and you can afford to take a risk on someone else like a Carson Palmer, Eli Manning or Ben Roethelsberger all of whom should be around at that point in the draft.


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Is Carlos Marmol ready to Start Throwing Strikes and Rack Up Saves?


By: Alex Woods 8/27/2009
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youngLike many in the fantasy baseball world we love Marmol. He has all the makings of a dominant setup man that steps into the closer scene a la Brad Lidge & Heath Bell. After a ridiculous 2008 season for some reason he was denied the chance to close after spring training. Marmol then went on to have arguably his worst season ever. The man has had stretches of his former “untouchablness”, but for the most part has been wild and let up runs - certainly not the type of performance you want out of your closer. Which makes his placement into the closer role even more shocking. What is Piniella thinking? When he pitches lights out he can’t close, when he get roughed up he can??? In Marmols first appearance as a closer he was lights out notching the save. However, last night he was back to his old ways, giving up giving up two earned runs and walking three. In his defense, the Cubs had a seven run lead and some make the argument that a closer is not really in “closer mode” when they enter a game in a non-save situation. In any case, Marmol cannot afford to lose focus as his job security is very shaky. We would not be surprised to see Angel Guzman getting save opportunities by the end of September.

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Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Ted Ginn Jr. - Fantasy Football Impact

By: Bobby Hastings 8/26/2009

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Many are predicting a break out year for Ginn Jr in 2009. We do not see it happening at BCRT, so long as Chad Pennington is throwing him the ball. Simply put, the two don’t work well together. Ginn Jr is a speedster who thrives off the deep ball. Pennington has no arm and cannot get the ball to Ginn the way he needs it. (pause) Ginn Jr is currently being drafted around the 10th round. That late in the draft he may be worth a flier as he is more talented than most receivers on the board at that point. All we are saying here is don’t overpay for this guy, this year. Unless Chad goes down to injury expect around 50 catches and less than 5 TDs.



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Can Marlon Byrd Contribute To Your Fantasy Baseball Down the Stretch?


By: Alex Woods 8/26/2009
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byrdIn a previous BCRT fantasy baseball hot pickupssection we featured Marlon Byrd stating that as the weather warms up so does Byrd. Well the real deal hot and humid summer may have come a bit late this year, but as always Marlon has come on with the weather. Over the last month he has hit a scorching .315 with 20 RBI and 14 HRs. He has even been stealing bases with 5 for the month. If you need power, Byrd is not your man. But if you are looking to make a final push in BA, R and RBI Byrd is a player to target down the stretch.


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Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Delmon Young – The Cant Miss Kid That Missed

By: Alex Woods 8/25/2009

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hansonHitting .256 with 8 HRs and 2 SB does not sound like the kind of line from a cant miss 30-30 lock prospect does it? I was tricked, and am sure many of you were as well. After keeping Delmon for two years and watching him struggle to hit 10 HRs I finally decided to stay away this year.

So, what happened to D-Young? Why is he garbage? It appears his undisciplined plate approach, which worked well in the minors is not translating so well to the major league level. It’s as simple as that, in the minors his BB/K rate was never that good, but this year it is an unacceptable 0.12. On top of that he is a sub-average fielder, so how can the Twin continue to start him? The answer is that Young is still young in age, indicating his minor league mojo MAY remerge at some point.

He has shown some promise recently hitting 5 of his 8 HRs over the past month. On top of that, his plate discipline is drastically improving as the number of pitches outside the zone he swings at has finally dropped below 40% and has dropped every year since he arrived in the big leagues. Still it is a bit discouraging that his BABIP is over .300 indicating that his hitting woes are not luck related – this all adds up to the fact that he is simply not making contact in the zone.

At one point we were huge Delmon Young fans, at this point we must recommend you let another fantasy baseball manager take a chance on his breakout occurring in 2010.

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Ballgame


8/25/09 - RonE B

The playoffs have yet to be set. There is no reason for me to believe that I will be in them or that I will win the championship. Everything is still very much up for grabs. But regardless of what happens from this point forward the 2009 Fantasy Baseball season was a success.

At about 10:45 EST Sunday night, the greatest of my fantasy accomplishments was completed: Despite Newman’s payoff and all Josh Beckett’s attempts to derail the team’s destiny, MoVaughn MoProblems tactfully and soundly shutout The Online Tough Guys. A clean 10-0-0 sweep in the third to final match-up of the season. A win that very well could decide who plays in September, and who goes to the loser’s bracket, pride long since lost and more playing on the Little League philosophy that everyone gets a trophy, theirs being the first overall pick in next March’s Microbrew Draught.

But before we continue with last week’s domination, let’s first examine what brought us to this point.

January:

On a cold winter’s afternoon a bright, wide-eyed and hung over Ron Bower received a phone call from a number his phone could not recognize. Ron picked up of course; he wasn’t one to screen calls. “Hello?”
“Hey Ronnie! It’s Joe B.”
“Oh Hey, what’s up man?”
“Oh nothing. Listen there’s a spot open in our fantasy baseball league this summer and I’d like to know if you want to join?”….

I took the spot which led to an exchange with the cousin, Scott. Scott told me that I was in great shape and had studs like Mark Teixeira, Ryan Dempster and CC Sabathia to look forward to. Now, I respect some of Scott’s opinion, but it became apparent long-ago that his baseball evaluations were sub-par. So I had to respectively disagree.

February:

In my first look at my inheritance and the teams around the league I began to evaluate what was in store for the future.

The team was called the Mooseknuckles. To my sheltered readers, mooseknuckle is camel-toe’s unsexy, unskinny and unintelligent twin sister. Under new ownership things needed to change, immediately!

MoVaughn MoProblems was born and I quickly began to search out ways to rebuild.

Cue Newman:

I was introduced to this dim-witted, exaggerated nobody through my email inbox in what appeared to be a joke. A hazing of the new guy if you will. I soon found out otherwise. The offer:

OTG Gets: Adam Dunn & CC Sabathia
MVP Gets: Rich Harden, Ryan Ludwick & OTG’s 2nd round pick

I quickly told him that a soft Dick Harden and a most likely fluke, Ryan Ludwick, were not in MVP’s best interests, that the offer made no sense and that he needed to do a lot better. Newman’s next offer:

MVP Gets: Billy Wagner
OTG Gets: Adam Dunn, Bobby Jenks, Derek Jeter, Derek Lowe, Bengie Molina, CC Sabathia, Mark Teixeira, and Michael Young

“my name is the online tough guys get used to this.”

…Terrified

March:

Having made a few moves I was set up strong for the draft. (Note: an unfair, and ridiculous might I add, rule set by the commissioner sets a standard that all teams must have 15 draft picks, therefore, I went into the draft thinking I had 18 when I, in fact, only had 15.)

On a whim the commissioner decided to allot unlimited time for draft choices and start the draft out of the blue one Saturday morning. At a very important business conference this General Manager was unable to perform his league duty of beginning the draft with the first overall pick. At the day’s end I chose to sip on a few adult beverages and the following morning decided to sleep an extra half-dozen hours rather than draft my first choice.

I hadn’t yet done any research but I needed offense. That night I chose Andre Ethier. Cue Newman:

“Andre Ethier is a good sleeper pick. I can probably get him as a free agent after the draft, though. Wait someone already took him? What an idiot!”

April:

I couldn’t wait. Second week of the season and it was time to play the world’s biggest doucher. I was nervous, but it has always been said that the underdog plays loose and the favorite plays conservative.

BOOM! 6-3-1 WIN

I told Newman in some choice words to take something out of his mouth and stick it somewhere else. Cue Newman and what became his rally cry for the 2009 season:

“BLOW IT UP BOWER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!”

May:

Dark days in MoVaughn MoProblems team offices. Players were cut and rally caps worn. Newman had a commanding 10.5 game lead in the division. MVP was third at 13.5 back and a depressing 25-31-4 record.

June:

For the first time MVP snuck above the .500 mark and in a league wide-poll that asked “At 39-36-5 is MoVaughn MoProblems the real deal?” 87.5% of responders voted that “Yes, yes they are and I’m not at all happy about it. PS – Newman’s a douche bag.”

A contender and rivalry was officially born.

July:

The teams split the month going 1-1 against each other. I beat Newman 7-3-0 then he escaped me 5-4-1 three weeks later.

It became clear that I needed some help in the pitching staff and that I could win the division if not the whole league with the right help.

August:

Mark Teixeira had been an integral part to MVP’s success but became expendable with Adam Dunn’s first base eligibility, Andrew McCutchen’s emergence as the greatest athlete of the 21st Century and Cliff Lee’s move to the National League.

A competitor emerged from the shadows in Gabe and suddenly Newman and I were no longer a two-horse race. Neither of us was even in first place. It was a three-team race to the finish for the division and only three teams of five remaining could secure playoff spots. The cream had risen to the top in the Miller Brewing Co. Division, having basically secured three teams a spot in the playoffs.

But with a game and a half separating Newman and I in the standings, and playoffs on the line, a match-up in the third to final week had all the news outlets buzzing.

Present:

There’s really no nice way to put getting shutout: “We tried really hard, had fun, and in the end that’s all that matters.”

There’s no way to make excuses: “We had a lot of injuries on the team. Had we been healthy we would have won!”

There isn’t even a backdoor that allows you to get off easy: “The better team won. He did everything and beat us fear and square.”

No, no, no Newman. None of that will do.

You see, all season long I heard this boring, annoying, and stupid trash talk from you. None of it was at all funny, intelligent, enlightening or even amusing. Just bush league stuff that a toddler would be embarrassed to use.

My guys did their best to keep the score close and salvage you some dignity, but you couldn’t even manage that.

I won homers this week 6-0. I had six home runs and won! All other teams this week would have tied or beaten me but three! You were the only team without a homer! YOU SUCK!

You had the third worst batting average this week having gone .250. YOU SUCK!

As of Thursday I had locked up at least a tie in the saves category and won it out-right on Friday. Final Score: 7-1. YOU SUCK!

Your guys had 7 starts this week and counting relievers only amassed 36 total innings with as many strikeouts. I had 7 starts with 57 innings and 60 strikeouts. YOU SUCK!

You tied for the worst in RBI with 22 and were the most awful in Runs Scored with 20. YOU SUCK!

You tied for third most awful in steals. YOU SUCK!

You tied for third least amount of wins with 2 and I would almost guarantee that in wins per pitcher started you were in dead last. YOU SUCK!

And despite your dastardly scheme to pay off Josh Beckett to play awful, and he succeeded, I still beat you in ERA and WHIP. YOU SUCK!

Newman, despite all your injury excuses I had merely 17 more at-bats than you. Therefore, your excuses are moot. Any attempt you have at sugar coating it is useless. And try not to get on my good-side. I kicked your ass, plain and simple.

In regards to what’s ahead, I don’t know. As it stands I am a game and a half up in the division lead and have to play two teams that I have yet to beat this season. That being said the four other teams competing for playoff spots are each playing a competitor in the final two weeks and could beat each other up enough to guarantee my place.

Regardless, I finished the season 3-1 (27-11-2) against Newman this season and quite possibly could have eliminated him from the playoffs. This season was a success.

During the week Newman wrote that he was beating himself because his guys wouldn’t play through injuries. On Friday he made two trade deadline trades and wrote this on the message board: “I BLEW IT UP BOWER!!”

No you didn’t, Newman. I blew it up.


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Weekly Free Agent / Waiver Fantasy Baseball Hot Pickups

By: Derek Gould

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I’d like to start each week with the, “told you so” or “not so much” sections, where I reflect on last week’s suggestions and see how they’ve panned out.

Miguel Montero: Catcher Arizona Diamondbacks

All right, so Montero has slipped a little bit during the last seven games only batting .227 with a measly .273 SLG %. But, I’ll continue to stress that the catcher position is thinner than Calista Flockhart in the ‘90s, so give him a chance and Montero will keep producing. Not So Much.

Randy Wells: Starting Pitcher Chicago Cubs

So, Wells didn’t get the win against Los Angeles on Friday, but look at his stats. He held the mighty Dodgers line up to only seven hits in 6.2 innings of work. Sure, he only struck out three, but that’s what owners can expect from Wells. If the Cubs could have come through and put up some runs in the early innings, Wells would have walked away with his 10th win of the season. Stay with him if in need of that prized, dependable starter. Told You So.

Jonny Gomes: Outfielder Cincinnati Reds

Gomes has continued to supplement in the Red’s outfield with a hot hand and while he hasn’t hit any homeruns in the past seven games, he has raised his average to .288 and has hit .333 in that span. Continue to implement him into lineups with Jay Bruce still MIA patrolling the outfield. Gomes will continue to hit.Told You So.

Andrew Bailey: Relief Pitcher Oakland A’s

Bailey has continued to prove why he will continue to be Oakland’s closer. Though he missed five days with out being used on the mound, Bailey did pitch 2.0 scoreless innings earning a win and a save in both innings. Continue to use Bailey, as he will help lower ERA, get wins and earn saves. Told You So.

Moving on, let’s take a look at who’s burning throughout the league that can seriously help managers in need right now. This week just so happens to feature four players from the American League East (sorry NL only managers). However, those in mixed leagues or AL only can seriously benefit from slipping these four studs into their starting lineups.

Hideki Matsui: Outfielder New York Yankees

Godzilla has been on a tear, as of late, sending out a lot of “thrillas” into the bleachers. Matsui has hit four homeruns with nine RBI in his weekend series at Fenway Park. Thoughts that Matsui might have a setback after having fluid drained from his knee this past week were put to rest as he made a mockery out of Brad Penny and Josh Beckett. There is a large upside to picking up the Japanese import that is hitting .265/23/68, and slot him into rosters immediately. The Yankees get Texas at home for the next series starting on Tuesday (Millwood, Holland and Nippert) at Yankee Stadium, where balls frequently vacate to the short porch in right field: Matsui’s favorite spot. With the slew of injuries that have attacked outfielders and DHs, it’s a smart move to snag the fifth batter in the Yankees lineup and reap the benefits of a hot bat.

Travis Snider: Outfielder Toronto Blue Jays

Since Alex Rios departed to Chicago, the gap in right field has been occupied by Snider who made a brief appearance at the start of the season. Snider was highly regarded as a top-notch prospect that, although had troubles patrolling the outfield, could hit for power. But, early struggles at the plate earned him a demotion back down to triple-A. Now, he’s back and has hit well since filling in for the incumbent. Though Snider only has 14 RBI, he is hitting .256 and two of his five homeruns have come from the past three games which he is hitting .333 with a .667. SLG%. Put aside the early season lackadaisical aura, Snider knows that his job is safe and he won’t have to split time or platoon with anyone. He can also serve as a DH if his woes in the outfield creep up. It’s worth a gamble to see if Snider can help teams in deep leagues that gets to feast on James Shields and Scott Kazmir Tuesday and Wednesday @ Rogers Centre. Roll the dice on him.

Clay Buchholz: Starting Pitcher Boston Red Sox

He was the highest valued prospect on any team’s list looking to strike a deal with the Red Sox. Now, he has earned himself a spot in the rotation, with Brad Penny sent to the bullpen, and continues to progress down his bumpy road to the majors. Since his call up back to the big leagues, the young ace in the making has dazzled in last three starts against quality teams including New York, Detroit and Toronto yielding only four runs in 19 innings of work. Though his strikeouts aren’t exactly the spectacular, Buchholz is maturing more and more on the mound with each start. When he gets into trouble, he isn’t shying away from the strike zone and putting men on after four pitches. It’s easy to see how some would say that Buchholz is not a fantasy starter, (3.99 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP) but if his progression continues with his remaining starts this season and his runs per game continue to stay low, the awakened Red Sox offense will provide enough runs for the youngster to pick up wins. If there is a sickening need for a starter and wins, take a look at Buchholz in much deeper leagues to help out with the long haul of the remaining stretch of the season.

J.P. Howell: Closing Pitcher Tampa Bay Rays

Everyone saw this coming. There was no way that Jason Isringhausen or Troy Percival would stay healthy for the entire season. There was also no way that hotheaded Grant Balfour or Dan Wheeler would be able to handle the 9th inning duties; this left Howell with the job by process of elimination. Make no mistake, Howell is no slouch, and though he doesn’t throw 95-96 mph, he does possess a deceiving delivery and has excellent command of the pitches he has to work with. The Ray’s lefty has shined since he was given the nod to close for Tampa as he has collected 15 saves and only blown six in the that span. With his 2.26 ERA and 1.06 WHIP, Howell is worth keeping in everyday lineups. Don’t forget who he plays for: With the potent offense that is the Rays, J.P. will have plenty of opportunities to rack up more saves down the road. He’s a great source of strikeouts (72) and will certainly help teams in need of saves. What’s astounding is how little Howell is talked about. He’s primarily owned in around 50% of leagues and shouldn’t be hard to find in fairly shallow leagues. Take a chance with him.


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